AFL Finals Week 1 Betting Odds

by Aussie Punter on September 6, 2011

in AFL

The first week of the 2011 AFL Finals Series is here, the top 8 teams are about to battle it out for the 2011 AFL Premiership.

In Friday night’s game which will be shown LIVE on free to air TV, Geelong take on Hawthorn as the round is set to start with a bang. The Hawks rested 8 key players last week and just stumbled over the line against wooden spoon winners in their first year of AFL, the Gold Coast Suns, while Geelong gave Minor Premiers Collingwood a thumping which will boost their morale. Ever since the much talked about 2008 Grand Final, in which the Hawks came away with the Premiership Cup, they have been unable to beat Geelong. They enter this match as underdogs, but I think they’re a real chance, especially considering the fresh players returning from a week off. It should be a cracker of a game, and I don’t expect a blowout margin with the forecasted weather. Either team under 40 points looks like good value to me. Being a Hawk supporter, I’ll be tipping and having a punt on Hawthorn by 1-24 points, paying $3.85 at SportingBet.

I expect Collingwood to bounce back after a lacklustre performance last week, where there was really nothing to play for. I’m sure the main concern was to get through the match without any serious injuries and while West Coast have been in good form, there’s no denying the fact that Collingwood are the side to beat at the moment, I’d disregard their last match and get on them to win this one without too much concern. Heath Shaw will be a massive in across half back as well, back the Pies with confidence.

St. Kilda and Sydney should be a close game, with the home ground advantage being the deciding factor for my tip. Both teams have a good chance of winning this one, but I think the Saints will be too good and win by 4 goals.

Last but not least, Carlton take on Essendon. While there’s no doubt the Bombers are a much better side with Watson leading them on the field, I don’t think they’ll be able to match the Blues. My tip is Carlton by 34 points, and I’ll take the -17.5 line paying $1.91.

AFL Finals Week 1 Head to Head Odds

As usual, the best odds available are listed in bold.

TeamsSportingBet AustraliaIAS BetLuxBetSportsBet
Geelong
Hawthorn
1.67
2.20
1.74
2.10
1.70
2.18
1.74
2.10
Collingwood
West Coast
1.22
4.25
1.22
4.25
1.20
4.60
1.22
4.25
St Kilda
Sydney
1.40
2.95
1.40
2.95
1.42
2.90
1.40
2.95
Carlton
Essendon
1.38
3.05
1.40
2.95
1.38
3.10
1.40
2.95

My tips are in bold, this weekend should be a great start to the AFL Finals series,
Good Luck and Happy Punting!
Aussie Punter

These odds were correct at the time of posting and are subject to change.

{ 1 comment }

Jose Bartaserlo February 12, 2012 at 10:07 PM

Roughly 10 miles as the crow flies from QPR

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