The 2012 AFL Premiership Season is here, the NAB Cup has been and gone and the home and away season started last week with the always around the mark Sydney Swans easily taking care of the newest team in the competition, the Greater Western Sydney Giants. In my opinion, last weeks footy match was just a teaser for this weekend when the real football begins.
Last years Brownlow Medal winner was Collingwood’s prolific ball winner and the outright favourite to win the 2010 Brownlow Medal, Dane Swan. The odds for Swan on the night were $16. Not many predicted Swan to win last year, which in recent years has often been the case with Brownlow Medal winners. It is quite common for the umpires’ opinions to differ greatly from phantom brownlow counts, who media personalities would have awarded votes to and professional AFL analysers and regular punters alike.
It is always a gamble when betting on the Brownlow, even more so at the beginning of the season as injuries are common, suspensions can occur and the team each player plays for may have a terrible year, winning less games than expected therefore greatly reducing their chances of winning the medal for being the best and fairest player in that year. However, if you do place your bets before the season begins or very early in the season, you’re guaranteed of getting the best odds, which in my opinion is what good punting is all about, finding value and trying to beat the bookies.
Best Odds For the 2012 Brownlow Before Round 1
It is always interesting to look back at the end of the year when the Brownlow Medal has been awarded to see what kind of odds were available at the start of the year. These odds will remain here for historical purposes to see what odds were on offer for the most popular players at the beginning of Round 1 of the 2012 AFL football season.
As usual, the bookmaker offering the best odds for each player is listed in bold text.
|Nick Dal Santo||19||23||23||26|
These odds were correct at the beginning of the 2012 AFL Season and are subject to change. Check out my Brownlow Medal Betting page or the bookmakers themselves for more up-to-date odds.
Here are some answers to some Frequently Asked Questions:
Q. When is the 2012 AFL Brownlow Medal Count Held?
A. The 2012 Brownlow Medal Night is scheduled for Monday the 24th of September, 2012
Q. Who won the 2011 Brownlow Medal?
A. Dane Swan. There is a list of all past Brownlow Medal Winners.
Q. Who do you think will win the 2012 Best and Fairest? Who’s your tip for the Charlie this year?
A. That’s a tough one, but being a Hawthorn supporter, I’d like it to be Mitchell, Franklin or Rioli. I’ll answer this properly in the newsletter before the night.
Q. Why don’t you list all of the players in the competition? Why isn’t the player I want to bet on (at odds of 1,000:1) listed here?
A. That’s an easy one.
Firstly, it would take me days to compile such a list, weeks to edit such a list, and I simply don’t have the time.
Secondly, the odds for all of the players I haven’t listed are over 100:1, making them very unlikely to win the Charlie. This list has the odds for the favourites and the outside chances, not the 1 in a millions.
Lastly, nobody wants to know how much a full back, tagger, fringe player or first year rookie is paying for the brownlow medal, because they’re not going to bet on them. With the exception of Michael Barlow, who ended up polling a lot less than he should have in his first year, there have been only 2 first year players to win the VFL/AFL best and fairest award in the history of the game.
Those two players were exceptional and it is unlikely that this feat will be repeated. The two players who have won Brownlow’s in their first year are Brad Hardie (1985 winner with his well known bright red hair and his trademark long sleeve jumper due to burns he suffered as a child) and Haydn Bunton who won in 1931, 1932, came runner-up in 1934 and won again in 1935. These two exceptional players both won a Brownlow Medal in their very first year of playing VFL/AFL football, but it is very rare that this happens and I’d be very surprised if it happened again.
If you can pick that 1 in a million player who will win one of AFL football’s most prestigeous awards in their first year of playing, surely you don’t need advice or free tips from a website such as mine. Although If I think they have a chance, I will certainly mention it. Roughies, outsiders and long-shots are one of my specialities.
And with that, I’d like to say good luck, and happy punting this year!