2013 AFL Brownlow Medal Betting Odds

2013 AFL Brownlow Medal Betting Odds

by Aussie Punter on September 23, 2013

in AFL

Tips For the 2013 AFL Brownlow Medal Winner

Most Australian Rules Football punters are agree that Gary Ablett Jnr. looks set to claim his second Brownlow Medal while playing for his second club, the Gold Coast Suns. In their third season, Gold Coast finished 14th on the ladder with 8 wins showing a lot of improvement from last year. It’s almost certain that Gary Jnr. would have polled at least 2 votes in each win but I highly suspect he will poll 3 votes in all but 2 wins by the Suns as most were won off the boot of the son of God.

Not to mention Ablett’s great polling history in losing games, the facts that in 2013 he won a record 5th AFL MVP Award voted by the AFLPA. In fantasy football games he was the highest averaging SuperCoach player in the competition and he ranked 3rd in both overall points and average points per game in the AFL Dream Team competition (with its statistics based solely on disposal numbers, not taking into account effectiveness). Ablett finished 1st in the official AFL Player Ratings, 83 points higher than Patrick Dangerfield in second place and of course winning the Best and Fairest award at the Suns for the 3rd year in a row.

There is no doubt in my mind that Gary Ablett deserves to win the 2013 Brownlow, however many great players before him have deserved to win and didn’t.

There has been a late betting plunge on Sam Mitchell, after news broke on the Footy Show that professional punter Sean Brady backing him in came to light, Brady collected on Chris Judd in 2010 and last year successfully tipped the Jobe Watson/Trent Cotchin quinella so while he has had some great success in punting and I mean no disrespect, I don’t think Sam can win this year.

Mitchell has been a proven vote getter over the years and has had another stellar season, although this year he’s played a lot more football in the back half of the ground rather than the midfield which makes me think he won’t poll as well in 2013 as in previous years. There are also a lot of good Hawks such as captain Luke Hodge and Coleman Medal winner Jarryd Roughead, not to mention the many others who have stepped up throughout the year to have best on ground performances. Hawthorn’s 19 wins for the season does help Mitchell’s chances, but I think there are too many good players around him who will take votes away from the former captain and make it difficult for Sam to win it. That said, I wouldn’t be too surprised if he finished 2nd for the 3rd consecutive year.

Cats captain Joel Selwood has been one of Geelong’s most consistent players, although his best polling year was in 2010 when he finished with 21 votes. He has matured since then, but I find it hard, definitely not impossible, but I don’t see how he could poll more votes than Ablett, even though the Cats finished 2nd on the ladder with 18 wins. Steve Johnson has also had a brilliant year after missing the first couple of rounds, he is sure to poll well in rounds 5-9, having been best on ground or very near to it in each win.

The bookmaker offering the best odds for each player is listed in bold.

Player Name SportingBet Australia IAS Bet SportsBet LuxBet Bet 365
Gary Ablett Jnr. 1.80 1.72 1.75 1.65 1.70
Joel Selwood 5.25 4.75 5 5.25 4.75
Sam Mitchell 5.50 6 5.50 5.50 6
Scott Pendlebury 11 12 12 12 9
Dane Swan 14 13 13 12 11
Patrick Dangerfield 31 51 51 51 67
Kieran Jack 31 36 36 41 36
Michael Barlow 36 31 31 67 36
Ryan Griffen 51 51 51 61 51
Daniel Hannebery 51 67 67 126 67
Jarryd Roughead 51 41 41 67 81

Good Luck, and Happy Punting!

These odds were correct at the time of publication which was the 23rd of September 2013 and are subject to change throughout the season. Check out my Brownlow Medal Betting Odds page or the bookmakers themselves for up-to-date odds.

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