Hawthorn will undoubtedly improve their delivery into the forward line this year with Sam Mitchell looking a million dollars, a fitter than ever Jordan Lewis running around & an injury-free Luke Hodge who looks set to spend a lot more time in the guts during 2010. The addition of Shaun Burgoyne to their list will help them win more clearances, and the young excitement machine Cyril Rioli is rumoured to spend some time in the midfield as well. According to this years AFL Prospectus, Champion Data general manager Tim Kelsey says Rioli is the best kick in the AFL. Finally, Buddy has lost a few kilo’s and had a much better pre-season. All signs point to yes for mine.

Fev deserves to be up there, however we’re yet to see if Brown and Fev can work together in the forward line. I don’t think Sydney are good enough for Bradshaw to win it, and their game style doesn’t generally involve lots of goals. For the roughies, I think Roughead (sic), Barry Hall (if he remembers this is football not boxing) and Riewoldt are good value.

Player Name
Lance Franklin	4	4.5	4.75	4.5
Brendan Fevola	4	3.75	4	3.75
Daniel Bradshaw	11	12	9	9
Jonathan Brown	13	13	13	12
Matthew Pavlich	15	11	13	11
Jarryd Roughead	16	14	15	16
Barry Hall	17	21	13	21
Kurt Tippett	21	19	21	21
Nick Riewoldt	26	17	17	21
Jason Porplyzia	26	34	26	21
Mark Lecras	26	21	21	17
John Anthony	34	34	41	21
Justin Koschitzke	41	34	34	51
Tom Hawkins	51	51	51	67
Quinten Lynch	51	51	67	NA
Cameron Mooney	61	67	41	41
Warren Tredrea	61	67	NA	41
Mark Williams	67	41	51	67
Cyril Rioli	67	41	41	81
Liam Jurrah	67	67	67	67
Luke Mcpharlin	81	101	NA	NA
Adam Goodes	81	51	81	126
Brett Deledio	81	81	101	NA
Travis Cloke	101	51	67	126
Gary Ablett Jnr.	151	81	67	126
Paul Medhurst	201	67	NA	251

These odds are current as of 15th of February and are subject to change. I will be updating the odds periodically throughout the season.

Let me know your thoughts in the comments.

#	Horse (Barrier)	Jockey	Weight
1	Viewed (9)	B Rawiller	58	5.00	4.60	4.85	4.80
2	C’est La Guerre (7)	Nicholas Hall	55.5	31.00	31.00	26.00	26.00
3	Fiumicino (24)	S R King	55.5	71.00	81.00	67.00	81.00
4	Master O’reilly (16)	V Duric	55	12.00	12.00	14.00	12.00
5	Mourilyan (14)	G Schofield	54.5	21.00	26.00	21.00	21.00
6	Roman Emperor (15)	J Bowman	54	9.00	8.50	8.50	9.00
7	Ista Kareem (23)	L Nolen	53.5	81.00	81.00	101.00	81.00
8	Crime Scene (11)	K Mc Evoy	53	41.00	51.00	41.00	41.00
9	Munsef (5)	Z Purton	53	51.00	61.00	51.00	51.00
10	Zavite (3)	M Zahra	53	81.00	71.00	51.00	61.00
11	Alcopop (12)	D Tourneur	52.5	5.50	5.00	5.00	5.00
12	Harris Tweed (20)	C Newitt	52.5	126.00	121.00	101.00	101.00
13	Kibbutz (8)	Chris Symons	52.5	71.00	71.00	71.00	81.00
14	Newport (18)	Peter Wells	52.5	41.00	41.00	41.00	41.00
15	Warringah (17)	D Oliver	52.5	31.00	31.00	26.00	31.00
16	Gallions Reach (6)	D Dunn	52	201.00	201.00	201.00	251.00
17	Spin Around (4)	M R Du Plessis	52	201.00	201.00	201.00	251.00
18	Basaltico (10)	D Nikolic	51.5	21.00	21.00	26.00	26.00
19	Capecover (19)	N G Harris	51.5	81.00	81.00	101.00	81.00
20	Daffodil (21)	C Munce	51.5	14.00	13.00	13.00	13.00
21	Shocking (22)	C W Brown	51	11.00	10.00	11.00	10.00
22	Allez Wonder (13)	Ms Michelle Payne	50.5	31.00	31.00	21.00	31.00
23	Changingoftheguard (1)	G Boss	50.5	SCR	SCR	SCR	SCR
24	Leica Ding (2)	Craig Williams	50.5	21.00	21.00	26.00	21.00

It looks like there’s a few showers around Flemington today, and the track is rated as DEAD(5), keep that in mind when picking your horses. I think I’ll be going for a few trifectas. Good luck, and happy punting!

Click Here to Punt on the ‘09 Melb. Cup

Bet on the 2009 Melbourne Cup

Whether you’re a pro punter who’s read all the form available, or if you just pick your favourite jockey, number or colour, maybe you will use some kind of guide that teaches you how to win the Melbourne Cup, good luck and happy punting!

It would be a good idea to keep an eye on some of the others if you’re scouting a Melbourne Cup winner to see how they finish off the Caulfield Cup.

These odds are from SportsBet who are offering some very healthy fixed odds. They are current as at 9:00am on Monday the 12th and are subject to fluctuation.

Good luck, and happy punting!

With their loss to Hawthorn last year, Geelong seem to have learned a valuable lesson and they look to have peaked just at the right time, thrashing Collingwood in the Qualifying Final by more than 12 goals. St Kilda, on the other hand have started to look a little shaky, struggling in a low-scoring match against the Bulldogs.

2009 AFL Grand Final Betting Odds

My tip is Geelong, their premiership window is closing and I think they’ll simply be too strong for St. Kilda if they’ve got their kicking boots on.

2009 Grand Final Head to Head
St Kilda Geelong	2.40 1.59	2.35 1.62	2.35 1.60	2.40 1.58

2009 Norm Smith Betting Odds

I have tipped 2 players from each team. if Geelong wins, it will be out of Ablett or Selwood. If the Saints cause an upset, captain Nick Riewoldt will probably get the medal. It’s hard to leave out Hayes, Montagna and Dal Santo, but I’ve chosen the good odds of game breaker Brendan Goddard.

2009 Norm Smith Medal
G Ablett (Geel)	6	6	6	6
N Riewoldt (St K)	9	8	8	10
L Hayes (St K)	11	13	9	11
J Selwood (Geel)	13	13	11	13
N Dal Santo (St K)	13	13	13	13
B Goddard (St K)	17	17	13	18
L Montagna (St K)	15	15	13	14
J Corey (Geel)	13	13	13	13
J Bartel (Geel)	11	13	13	9
P Chapman (Geel)	12	13	13	11
S Johnson (Geel)	17	15	15	17
C Enright (Geel)	17	17	17	18
S Fisher (St K)	21	26	21	23
J Koschitzke (St K)	23	34	26	31
M Scarlett (Geel)	34	34	29	31
C Mooney (Geel)	29	34	29	31
C Ling (Geel)	34	34	34	31
D Milburn (Geel)	41	34	34	41
J Gram (St K)	34	34	36	41
S Gilbert (St K)	51	41	36	41

Note: All-in betting, which means if your horse doesn’t make the final field, there are no refunds. It is often well worth a punt if you do your homework.

Bet on the 2009 Melbourne Cup at IASBet

Odds Updated Monday September 21st, 2009

We’re almost at the beginning of the 2009 AFL season and now is the perfect time to get your bets on those roughies for the Charlie. Adam Cooney last year anyone?

The top 10 Brownlow vote-getters in 2008 were Adam Cooney (24), Simon Black (23), Gary Ablett & Matthew Richardson (22), Adam Goodes (21), Lance Franklin (20), Joel Selwood (19), Brent Harvey & Matthew Pavlich (17), Chris Judd & Brad Sewell (16).

Here are the current best win odds from my favourite Australian betting sites. It always pays to have accounts with multiple online bookmakers as you can see there are some huge differences in the odds for certain players, although this is much more true at the start of the year:

Player Name (Team)
Gary Ablett (GEEL)	2.7	2.85	2.62	2.50
Dane Swan (COLL)	4.75	6	5.5	5
Chris Judd (CARL)	7	7	7	8
Adam Goodes (SYD)	8	7	7	8
Nick Dal Santo (STK)	9	9.5	8.50	11
Joel Selwood (GEEL)	11	8.5	8.5	13
Simon Black (BRIS)	14	12	12	14
Leigh Montagna (STK)	11	15	13	13
Brendon Goddard (STK)	17	21	15	26
Nick Riewoldt (STK)	17	15	15	15
Matthew Boyd (WBDG)	21	15	19	26
Lenny Hayes (STK)	41	34	29	41
Bernie Vince (ADEL)	41	67	34	41
Marc Murphy (CARL)	41	51	41	67
Scott Thompson (ADEL)	34	31	51	51
Jonathon Brown (BRIS)	67	81	61	81
Bryce Gibbs (CARL)	51	81	67	126
Alan Didak (COLL)	101	81	81	101
Leon Davis (COLL)	251	201	126	251
Paul Chapman (GEEL)	251	301	151	201

Click Here for the Latest Odds on the 2009 Brownlow Medal