Oze Punting Blog

The odds suggest this week will be pretty easy for those involved in footy tipping comps around Australia, there’s not a lot of value to be had on straight out win bets. All the home teams, bar Port Adelaide playing Fremantle are rightful short favourites. I do, however, think there is value to be had for Port Adelaide, the Bulldogs and Melbourne.

My first bet would be for the Power to beat the Dockers. Port have a lot more to lose than Freo, and I think they’ll get up in a reasonably close game.

Second bet this week will be the two top-scoring sides in the competition. Hawthorn are still without a lot of run from the half back line, missing Guerra with a hamstring injury, not to mention the lack of Hodge and Crawford in the middle. The Western Bulldogs have so many avenues to goal and down at the larger than average Aurora Stadium, should find their way to the big sticks plenty of times. If they can hold Buddy and Roughead to only a few goals each, the Doggies can win this one.

And the long-shot for the week. The Dees - IF they can repeat the form they showed last week for David Neitz’ retirement are a chance to upset the Saints.

Here are the current best odds for betting on the footy.

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There’s a couple of stand out bets for me this week. Sydney are a hard team to beat no matter where they’re playing, and have had it over the Power in recent times beating them in their last three encounters. I think these odds are very good for a game that I believe will be very close.

Carlton should beat Freo at home at the Dome, and the odds look decent enough to have a bet. My tip is for Fevola to kick a bag of goals while Pavlich spends too much time in the midfield.

If you’re looking for a long shot, the Kangaroos are never an easy side to beat, and the Bulldogs were less than convincing in their last game against Fremantle. Also, the last three times these teams have met, it’s been all North Melbourne.

Bet on The Footy at IASBet.com

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After the Big V took on the Dream Team in last week’s exhibition match, and missing out on a round of regular footy, I’m keen as mustard to get back in to punting on the remainder of the season. The ladder is starting to take shape, with Geelong and Hawthorn having won every match this year, while the Bulldogs are sitting just behind them also unbeaten, but with a draw against Richmond.

My first value pick this week is the Western Bulldogs. The Bullies are playing Freo, who were beaten by Melbourne (in Melbourne) in round 7. The dogs have won their past two encounters by less than 30 points against the Dockers, and I expect that to continue this week. $1.78 to win is very good odds for 3rd against 3rd last on the ladder, or you could take an educated guess that this won’t be a huge scoring affair and get on the margin bet, Western Bulldogs by 1-39 which is paying $2.30.

St Kilda are without star forward Nick Riewoldt, but all hope is not lost. The Saints have beaten the Pies in 4 of their last 5 outings and it looks like Frasier is going to be out, which is a huge loss for Collingwood. $2.38 to win is good odds for what should be a close home game for St. Kilda and I’m tipping them to win.

And finally for the long shot of the week. While I think Hawthorn will win their home game down at Aurora Stadium in Tassie this week, the Power have beaten the Hawks 7 times out of their last 8 matches, the most recent of which (round 20, 2007) was played at the very same stadium and Port won 87 - 82. It’s a well known fact that Alistair Clarkson and Co. began their coaching careers with Port, and both coaches know each others’ game plan. I think this will be a much closer game than the odds suggest and it might be worth a punt with odds over $3.

Click Here to Bet on the Footy

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We’re a third way through the 2008 season, and there’s still some great odds to be had if you want to get in early on the Brownlow betting market. Last years winner, Jimmy “Total Footballer” Bartel and gun teammate Gary Ablett Jnr. both have a very good chance of polling the top 3 votes this year with Geelong continuing their dominant form this year, and I’d say they’re worth the punt with odds over $3 for the place.

Here’s the top picks for both Win & Place betting (where available) from my 3 favourite Aussie online betting sites, with the best odds for that player indicated in bold.

It looks like Sporting Bet currently has the best odds for the outright win, but unfortunately they don’t offer Place or Each Way odds. IAS Bet is leading the race for place betting, offering some very nice odds early in the season, and some extremely juicy odds for Chris Judd to poll the most votes this year. If he can get over his groin injury in the latter half of the season, odds of $17 is very, very good for someone who can dominate games from an umpires perspective.

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Early Oaks Day Fixed Price Betting Odds

Punters think this years Crown Oaks will be taken out by Serious Speed, Zarita, El Daana, Riva San, Arapaho Miss or Royale Harmony.

Bet on the Crown Oaks

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Tips for the 2007 Melbourne Cup

Vlad Duric riding Master O’reilly certainly looks hard to beat, but there are a few others that I think have a fine chance of taking out this years cup.

• Purple Moon - with veteran jockey Damien Oliver on board has a very strong chance.
• Zipping - has decent wet weather form and has been looking in nice touch of late
• Mahler - with the bottom weight and a decent barrier, as well as a slow track win
• Sirmione - you can never underestimate Bart Cummings, could win the double like Rogan Josh

The Best Odds for the ‘07 Melb. Cup

Bet on the Melbourne Cup with IAS Bet this year and you will be getting the best bang for your buck!
Choose Super Price and be guaranteed that the payout will exceed at least 2 Australian TABs - Often paying higher than all three!
Choose Top Fluc, or Bookies Best Price and you are guaranteed to be paid the top official fluctuation odds bet by on-course bookmakers!

Plus you can bet on every major race meeting and sporting event at any time of the day, or night. Avoid the crowds on race day and put your bets on in the comfort of your own home, alll while getting paid better odds than the TOTE!

Get The Best Odds on the 2007 Melb. Cup

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Update: - This post was written in 2007, here is the 2008 Melbourne Cup Field and Fixed Price Odds

Here they are. The full and final list of 24 starters in for the 2007 Cup. The race that stops the nation, and many parts of the world!

There’s some good odds to be had at the moment if you get in early and obtain a high fixed price. As always there is an element of risk involved - but it certainly can pay big dividends.

Here’s the final field for this year’s big race, with the current fixed price betting odds displayed on the far right-hand side column. There’s a few horses here that have a great chance and are listed with some very healthy odds.

*Fixed Price Win Only Odds from IASBet.com as at Sunday 4th of November, subject to fluctutations.

Get the Latest Odds and Bet on the Melbourne Cup

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Update: This post was written in ‘07 - I notice a lot of you are coming here searching for this years melbourne cup field - Good luck!

Get the Latest Odds for the Melbourne Cup

Here’s the current field and betting odds for this years premiere Spring Racing event, the prestigious Melbourne Cup. Will the favourite Master O’Reilly be able to live up to the hype?

Bet on the 2007 Melbourne Cup

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1 out of 3 last week, not my greatest this year. The Kangaroos prevailed against Essendon, but West Coast without Cox were absolutely smashed in the ruck, and subsequently, the scores aswell. Hawthorn took a handy lead early in the match, and appeared to be in control of the game, but their inexperience saw that lead dwindle away to nothing in less than 15 minutes. To their credit, they did fight back to keep the scores close, but lost it in the final term.

There’s some close matches being played this week, but I like the look of the home games for the Kangaroos and Sydney, who should bounce back after being beaten by the Saints.

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I had to go away last weekend and I was without access to a computer, sorry for not getting any tips up.

Some very close matches again this week which will be hard to pick a definite winner. The first one is a perfect example. The Kangaroos are flying after upsetting most punters when they defeated Sydney last week, while Essendon, after starting the season well have shown some disappointing performances of late, possibly due to Lloyd’s injury. Both are paying $1.97 to win, and with the Kangaroos playing well and having had the better of the Bombers in recent years, I’m going to be having a punt on them.

Geelong are the surprise favourites to end West Coast’s unbeaten season after absolutely thrashing Richmond last week, and while the Cats are playing at home on their unique ground, I don’t think they are quite up to the task. I’ll be backing the Eagles to win at $2.00, in a game that I expect to be very close.

Didn’t Hawthorn prove me wrong, or should I say, didn’t Lance Franklin prove me wrong. I honestly believed without the accuracy or Hawthorn’s leading goal kicker, Mark Williams, the very young Hawks would struggle to win many more games for the season. Lance stepped up last week to boot 9 goals, five of which came in a 15 minute burst in the second quarter to beat the Bombers, and they’re sitting pretty in the top 8 at the moment. On the other hand, Freo haven’t been playing up to what was expected of them this year. I don’t think I’ll put this one on myself, but at odds of $2.80 to win, Hawthorn are a chance.

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