Oze Punting Blog

Tips for the 2007 Melbourne Cup

Vlad Duric riding Master O’reilly certainly looks hard to beat, but there are a few others that I think have a fine chance of taking out this years cup.

• Purple Moon - with veteran jockey Damien Oliver on board has a very strong chance.
• Zipping - has decent wet weather form and has been looking in nice touch of late
• Mahler - with the bottom weight and a decent barrier, as well as a slow track win
• Sirmione - you can never underestimate Bart Cummings, could win the double like Rogan Josh

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Australia are looking to give Glenn Mcgrath one more World Cup win before he retires, and are going in as red hot favourites. I’ll be putting on a couple of exotic bets to make the game a little more interesting.

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Here are the latest odds for the 2007 World Cup, taking place in the West Indies.

Bet on Cricket

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This is it. We are taking on the world champs of soccer. Can we defeat the world’s most hyped soccer team? Punters don’t think so, us Aussies are paying $10 to win, and a decent $6.50 for the draw. The Brazilians are easy favourites, paying $1.21 to beat our Socceroos.
The time to beat them is now, having only played one game which, in my opinion, they were very lucky to win. They’re not in the best form, on the other hand, we’ve just come off a heart-lifting victory over Japan, even after the umpire awarded a goal which should not have counted.

I don’t think we have a better chance than now of knocking off the current World Cup favourites. It won’t be easy, but our playing team and our coach will surely be ready for a tough match, and after watching our effort against Japan, I think our team is finally ready to take on the world.
Click Here to bet on the 2006 World Cup

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World Cup fever is set to hit Australia on Thursday (Australian time) when the Socceroos play a friendly international against Greece in Melbourne. More than 90,000 fans are expected to attend the game. But not all fans will be barracking for the home side - Melbourne has the second largest Greek population outside of Athens.

Current betting on IASbet shows the home team Australia at 2.20* with Greece at 2.35 and the draw 2.25.

Socceroos coach Guus Hiddink has named Middlesbrough striker Mark Viduka as Australia’s captain for the 2006 World Cup in Germany next month. The 30-year-old Viduka first captained the national team in the play-off win over Uruguay with regular captain Craig Moore sidelined because of injury.

Australia begins their World Cup campaign against Japan on June 12.

Betting on Australia’s first World Cup Finals game against Japan is already available with IASbet where the Socceroos are priced at 2.50, Japan 2.90 and the Draw 3.20.

With so much at stake, I don’t think the draw will happen. It would be nice to see us do well in the soccer, but I do have my doubts.

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Australia takes on New Zealand in the traditional Anzac Test match Suncorp Stadium. Australia will be fired up for revenge in this one after the Kiwis rewrote the record books with a 24-0 win the last time the sides met in the Tri Nations Series. Needless to say, the Kangaroos are a bit short for a straight out bet so the Margin Betting option is the way to go here.

The Aussies are easy favourites to take the win, paying 1.22. There’s a lot of value in NZ, paying over $4.

Bet on the Rugby

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A Super weekend of Racing kicks off on Friday with the running of the Listed Wagga Gold Cup over 2000m while Harness Racing at Moonee Valley features the running of the $20,000 Cinderella Stakes as the Mares Triple Crown gets underway with Kiwi mare Molly Darling the one to beat.

Racing at the Gold Coast on Saturday provides the highlight with the Prime Minister’s Cup meeting. The major race on the card is the $300,000 G2 Norco Pauls Milk WFA Hollindale Stakes over 1800m with Australian Cup winner Roman Arch sure to appreciate the drop in class on his last couple.

Super Sunday at Morphetville will see the running of the SA Derby and the Goodwood Handicap. The Leon McDonald trained Gallant Guru looks capable of posting a hometown win. Grinding home at his last couple he has been looking for the Derby trip while the much travelled Testafiable for trainer Peter Moody looms as hardest to beat.

The Goodwood Handicap is as open as the Sydney heads with a host of chances. Plenty of value if you can find the winner of this race with Royal Ida for trainer Michael O’Leary the early favourite.

Don’t forget the Asian Mile Challenge continues on Sunday with the running of the third leg of the Challenge, The Champions Mile at Sha Tin.

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The fight of the year in Australia has yet again been postponed. It has been announced that the Anthony Mundine vs Danny Green fight, said to be the biggest non-title fight in Australian boxing history, has been moved to May. The fight will now be held at Aussie Stadium in Sydney on May 17 (Australia time).

Doctors told Green that he needed two weeks rest after sustaining nerve damage to his back during training last week. Mundine, who was not thrilled with the second postponement of the blockbuster fight, reacted to the news by saying, “Is he a warrior or a wuss?”

The Super Middleweight Middleweight bout features “The Man” Mundine is 25-3 (20 KO’s) and is arguably the more polished boxer of the two. He takes on “Green Machine” Green, who is 21-2 (19 KO’s). Green is as game as they come and, although he does not possess the pure athleticism of Mundine, his slugging prowess is undeniable.

Before betting was suspended, Mundine was a slight favourite.

Mundine Asks Green - “Is he a warrior or a wuss?”
Green Fires Back at Mundine - (Mundine) doesn’t realise I can put up with pain, beyond most humans.

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Anthony Mundine will take on Danny Green in the biggest non-title fight in Australian boxing history, held at Aussie Stadium in Sydney on April 19. The slightly older Green is looking to pick up the mantel of Australia’s best boxer from Mundine after Kostya Tszyu’s imminent retirement.

Mundine is currently a slight favorite at a 1.75 chance with Green a 2.05 chance to win on IASbet. Leading up to the fight, Mundine has been training in the tiny aboriginal community in New South Wales where his father grew up. Mundine is also using the same ring as Aussie Russell Crow used in Cinderella Man (on loan); as well as dining on traditional meat such as goanna and turtle.

Green, who is following a slightly more traditional training regimen, was recently forced to move back to Perth (from Sydney) after the death of his infant niece. Green and his brother are very close, so he chose to be with the family during the lead up to the fight.

At the moment, I’d try and double my money and back Green for this, he’s a class boxer who’s had some bad luck in the past. It should be a good match, and the result will probably silence one of these blokes, but then again, they are boxers

Click Here to bet on Green Vs Mundine

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There is another Super Saturday of racing at Flemington this weekend with three Group races including the $350,000 Group 2 Blamey Stakes, the $300,000 Group 2 VRC Sires Produce Stakes and the $150,000 Group 3 Queens Cup (2500m).

The Blamey Stakes, race 7 on the card, shapes up to be one of the most contentious races of the afternoon. Of particular interest to racing fans and punters is the return of shock Australian Cup winner Roman Arch in the Blamey Stakes on Saturday. The 50/1 winner last week opened at 7.00 in fixed odds betting at IASbet for the Blamey. The David Hayes trained Niconero, opened as the slight favourite in early fixed odds markets (6.00 on IASbet). Another intriguing prospect in the Blamey Stakes is Zipping. The Danehill gelding opened at 8.00 and shortened to 7.00. He has an impressive record with 7 wins and 2 third placings from his 10 lifetime starts, but does face his toughest test here.

Race 6 on the Flemington card, is the Sires Produce stakes. The smart two-year-old filly Nediym’s Glow has been declared an early scratching from the race. Her rival, the red-hot Lee Freedman stable runner Satin Robes, has shortened from 7.00 to 6.00 on IASbet. The all-conquering Hayes stable will supply the race favourite Ulfah. The market mover of the race is Deledio, who has shortened the most-from 21.00 to 15.00.

The last of Saturday’s feature races at Flemington sees the Danny O’Brien trained Adelaide Cup winner of 2005 Demerger step up to a suitable distance in the Queens Cup. The five-year-old mare will appreciate the drop back in class on her last start in the Australian Cup. Demerger is 4.00 at IASbet.

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