Oze Punting Blog

I’m sure you’re just as keen as I am to have a proper weekend of footy after last week’s split round, so I’ll get straight back into the betting tips for round 15 2008. I do see quite a fair bit of value this week, so I’ve put in one more bet than usual.

The Saints really should be too good for Carlton. The closest the Blues have come to beating St. Kilda in recent years is 10 points in 2007. Earlier this year, the Saints bet them by more than 6 goals, but with Judd coming back in to the side and Carlton playing much better defensively, I think it will be much closer than last time.

The Kangaroos have much more to play for than Port. With Chad Cornes on one leg, one hand, one arm and who knows what else, the Power will struggle to match it with a fiery North Melbourne side, I think the odds should favour the Roos here.

Sydney have had Hawthorn’s measure the last 6 times they’ve met, and with those odds you can’t go past them.

The Tigers odds have blown out thanks to Richo’s hamstring. One (albeit great) man does not make a football team, and the black and yellow should prevail against the “rabble” that West Coast appears to be this year.

Australia’s own Sporting Bet looks to have some very healthy odds this week, and I’ll outline my recommended bets for each game this week.

• St. Kilda by 1 - 39 - $2.40
• Kangaroos by 1 - 39 - $2.45
• Sydney to win - $3.00
• Richmond by 1 - 39 - $2.60

With whatever you choose to have a punt on this week, good luck!

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After last week, where all of the favourites came up and won except for Carlton, this week appears to have a lot more options if you’re looking for a bit of value. I’ll get straight into it as I’m running short of time today.

My value tips are for the first three games of the round. I’ve found the best odds can be had on CentreBet this week, I especially like this site as they’re very quick to deposit winnings straight into your bank account. I’ve had a $100 AFL multi-bet pay out over $10k with them, which they were happy to deposit only days after the win. Without further ado, here’s my value tips for round 12.

• West Coast to beat Essendon by 1-39 Paying $2.60
• Brisbane to beat the Bullies by 1-24 Paying $4.25
• Kangaroos to beat Freo by 1-39 Paying $2.65

Get Great Odds at CentreBet

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I usually put in three recommended bets for value, but this week it’s proving rather difficult to find them. The stand out value punt for me in round 11 is Richmond taking on a birdman-less Adelaide outfit. Richo is in brownlow medal form and Adelaide have been very inaccurate in front of goal lately. At $2.40, the tigers are a a great chance at good odds.

St. Kilda found some form last week, but against Melbourne this year that’s not saying a great deal. They’re paying $2.58 against the Bulldogs who are in good form at the moment, comfortably defeating the previously unbeaten Hawthorn last week, and they beat the Saints by 38 points earlier in the year. Without Murphy, the dogs have lost one very good avenue to goal, but I still think they’ll be too strong.

Finally the long-shot of the week. Carlton have a chance to upset a struggling Port Adelaide side, and with odds of over $6 for the win, there is a bit of value in them. For a safer option, Port by less than 40 points is still good value.

Suggested value bets

1. Richmond to beat Adelaide paying $2.40.
2. St Kilda to beat Bulldogs paying $2.58
3. Carlton to win paying $6.10 and/or Port Adelaide by 1-39 paying $2.30

Good luck and happy punting!

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There’s a couple of stand out bets for me this week. Sydney are a hard team to beat no matter where they’re playing, and have had it over the Power in recent times beating them in their last three encounters. I think these odds are very good for a game that I believe will be very close.

Carlton should beat Freo at home at the Dome, and the odds look decent enough to have a bet. My tip is for Fevola to kick a bag of goals while Pavlich spends too much time in the midfield.

If you’re looking for a long shot, the Kangaroos are never an easy side to beat, and the Bulldogs were less than convincing in their last game against Fremantle. Also, the last three times these teams have met, it’s been all North Melbourne.

Bet on The Footy at IASBet.com

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After the Big V took on the Dream Team in last week’s exhibition match, and missing out on a round of regular footy, I’m keen as mustard to get back in to punting on the remainder of the season. The ladder is starting to take shape, with Geelong and Hawthorn having won every match this year, while the Bulldogs are sitting just behind them also unbeaten, but with a draw against Richmond.

My first value pick this week is the Western Bulldogs. The Bullies are playing Freo, who were beaten by Melbourne (in Melbourne) in round 7. The dogs have won their past two encounters by less than 30 points against the Dockers, and I expect that to continue this week. $1.78 to win is very good odds for 3rd against 3rd last on the ladder, or you could take an educated guess that this won’t be a huge scoring affair and get on the margin bet, Western Bulldogs by 1-39 which is paying $2.30.

St Kilda are without star forward Nick Riewoldt, but all hope is not lost. The Saints have beaten the Pies in 4 of their last 5 outings and it looks like Frasier is going to be out, which is a huge loss for Collingwood. $2.38 to win is good odds for what should be a close home game for St. Kilda and I’m tipping them to win.

And finally for the long shot of the week. While I think Hawthorn will win their home game down at Aurora Stadium in Tassie this week, the Power have beaten the Hawks 7 times out of their last 8 matches, the most recent of which (round 20, 2007) was played at the very same stadium and Port won 87 - 82. It’s a well known fact that Alistair Clarkson and Co. began their coaching careers with Port, and both coaches know each others’ game plan. I think this will be a much closer game than the odds suggest and it might be worth a punt with odds over $3.

Click Here to Bet on the Footy

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We’re a third way through the 2008 season, and there’s still some great odds to be had if you want to get in early on the Brownlow betting market. Last years winner, Jimmy “Total Footballer” Bartel and gun teammate Gary Ablett Jnr. both have a very good chance of polling the top 3 votes this year with Geelong continuing their dominant form this year, and I’d say they’re worth the punt with odds over $3 for the place.

Here’s the top picks for both Win & Place betting (where available) from my 3 favourite Aussie online betting sites, with the best odds for that player indicated in bold.

It looks like Sporting Bet currently has the best odds for the outright win, but unfortunately they don’t offer Place or Each Way odds. IAS Bet is leading the race for place betting, offering some very nice odds early in the season, and some extremely juicy odds for Chris Judd to poll the most votes this year. If he can get over his groin injury in the latter half of the season, odds of $17 is very, very good for someone who can dominate games from an umpires perspective.

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Early Oaks Day Fixed Price Betting Odds

Punters think this years Crown Oaks will be taken out by Serious Speed, Zarita, El Daana, Riva San, Arapaho Miss or Royale Harmony.

Bet on the Crown Oaks

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Tips for the 2007 Melbourne Cup

Vlad Duric riding Master O’reilly certainly looks hard to beat, but there are a few others that I think have a fine chance of taking out this years cup.

• Purple Moon - with veteran jockey Damien Oliver on board has a very strong chance.
• Zipping - has decent wet weather form and has been looking in nice touch of late
• Mahler - with the bottom weight and a decent barrier, as well as a slow track win
• Sirmione - you can never underestimate Bart Cummings, could win the double like Rogan Josh

The Best Odds for the ‘07 Melb. Cup

Bet on the Melbourne Cup with IAS Bet this year and you will be getting the best bang for your buck!
Choose Super Price and be guaranteed that the payout will exceed at least 2 Australian TABs - Often paying higher than all three!
Choose Top Fluc, or Bookies Best Price and you are guaranteed to be paid the top official fluctuation odds bet by on-course bookmakers!

Plus you can bet on every major race meeting and sporting event at any time of the day, or night. Avoid the crowds on race day and put your bets on in the comfort of your own home, alll while getting paid better odds than the TOTE!

Get The Best Odds on the 2007 Melb. Cup

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Here they are. The full and final list of 24 starters in for the 2007 Cup. The race that stops the nation, and many parts of the world!

There’s some good odds to be had at the moment if you get in early and obtain a high fixed price. As always there is an element of risk involved - but it certainly can pay big dividends.

Here’s the final field for this year’s big race, with the current fixed price betting odds displayed on the far right-hand side column. There’s a few horses here that have a great chance and are listed with some very healthy odds.

*Fixed Price Win Only Odds from IASBet.com as at Sunday 4th of November, subject to fluctutations.

Get the Latest Odds and Bet on the Melbourne Cup

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Get the Latest Odds for the Melbourne Cup

Here’s the current field and betting odds for this years premiere Spring Racing event, the prestigious Melbourne Cup. Will the favourite Master O’Reilly be able to live up to the hype?

Bet on the 2007 Melbourne Cup

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