Oze Punting Blog

I usually put in three recommended bets for value, but this week it’s proving rather difficult to find them. The stand out value punt for me in round 11 is Richmond taking on a birdman-less Adelaide outfit. Richo is in brownlow medal form and Adelaide have been very inaccurate in front of goal lately. At $2.40, the tigers are a a great chance at good odds.

St. Kilda found some form last week, but against Melbourne this year that’s not saying a great deal. They’re paying $2.58 against the Bulldogs who are in good form at the moment, comfortably defeating the previously unbeaten Hawthorn last week, and they beat the Saints by 38 points earlier in the year. Without Murphy, the dogs have lost one very good avenue to goal, but I still think they’ll be too strong.

Finally the long-shot of the week. Carlton have a chance to upset a struggling Port Adelaide side, and with odds of over $6 for the win, there is a bit of value in them. For a safer option, Port by less than 40 points is still good value.

Suggested value bets

1. Richmond to beat Adelaide paying $2.40.
2. St Kilda to beat Bulldogs paying $2.58
3. Carlton to win paying $6.10 and/or Port Adelaide by 1-39 paying $2.30

Good luck and happy punting!

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There’s a couple of stand out bets for me this week. Sydney are a hard team to beat no matter where they’re playing, and have had it over the Power in recent times beating them in their last three encounters. I think these odds are very good for a game that I believe will be very close.

Carlton should beat Freo at home at the Dome, and the odds look decent enough to have a bet. My tip is for Fevola to kick a bag of goals while Pavlich spends too much time in the midfield.

If you’re looking for a long shot, the Kangaroos are never an easy side to beat, and the Bulldogs were less than convincing in their last game against Fremantle. Also, the last three times these teams have met, it’s been all North Melbourne.

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