Oze Punting Blog

There’s some good looking value in most games this week and I’m going to take a chance at a Multi-Bet with CentreBet who are offering a $50 Free Bet for new clients. That’s a good deal no matter how you look at it!

I think there’s great value for both the Bombers, who are in great form at the moment, and the cellar dweller Demons who’re playing a not-very-impressive Freo. With Palmer and Bell out for Fremantle, they simply don’t have any good midfielders. Pavlich will get them close, but I think Melbourne have shown that they can play some decent football this year and I think they’ll be too good. The tanking subject makes games like this tough to pick, I think it would be silly to bet big on either team, especially the Dockers, whereas there’s definitely value in betting on the Demons. Richmond showed how easy it is to beat a team that’s not trying, but this week they’re playing a team of Bombers who look in great form and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Tigers finished the season in 9th position again this year. The bombers on the other hand, I believe are a real chance to make the 8.

• Multi Bet with Collingwood, Geelong, Hawthorn, Sydney and Adelaide with odds of nearly $8.80
• Essendon to beat Richmond at $2.20
• Melbourne to beat Fremantle at $2.85

Here are the rest of the odds with my tips for this weeks winners in bold.

Teams (Home Team First)	Home Win Odds	Away Win Odds
Roos v Pies	2.30	1.65
Cats v Dogs	1.52	2.55
Tigers v Bombers	1.68	2.20
Lions v Eagles	1.09	7.50
Saints v Hawks	2.70	1.47
Blues v Swans	2.45	1.56
Power v Crows	2.10	1.74
Dockers v Demons	1.43	2.85

Get a $50 Free Bet at CentreBet

1 Comment »

After last week, where all of the favourites came up and won except for Carlton, this week appears to have a lot more options if you’re looking for a bit of value. I’ll get straight into it as I’m running short of time today.

My value tips are for the first three games of the round. I’ve found the best odds can be had on CentreBet this week, I especially like this site as they’re very quick to deposit winnings straight into your bank account. I’ve had a $100 AFL multi-bet pay out over $10k with them, which they were happy to deposit only days after the win. Without further ado, here’s my value tips for round 12.

• West Coast to beat Essendon by 1-39 Paying $2.60
• Brisbane to beat the Bullies by 1-24 Paying $4.25
• Kangaroos to beat Freo by 1-39 Paying $2.65

Get Great Odds at CentreBet

3 Comments »

I usually put in three recommended bets for value, but this week it’s proving rather difficult to find them. The stand out value punt for me in round 11 is Richmond taking on a birdman-less Adelaide outfit. Richo is in brownlow medal form and Adelaide have been very inaccurate in front of goal lately. At $2.40, the tigers are a a great chance at good odds.

St. Kilda found some form last week, but against Melbourne this year that’s not saying a great deal. They’re paying $2.58 against the Bulldogs who are in good form at the moment, comfortably defeating the previously unbeaten Hawthorn last week, and they beat the Saints by 38 points earlier in the year. Without Murphy, the dogs have lost one very good avenue to goal, but I still think they’ll be too strong.

Finally the long-shot of the week. Carlton have a chance to upset a struggling Port Adelaide side, and with odds of over $6 for the win, there is a bit of value in them. For a safer option, Port by less than 40 points is still good value.

Suggested value bets

1. Richmond to beat Adelaide paying $2.40.
2. St Kilda to beat Bulldogs paying $2.58
3. Carlton to win paying $6.10 and/or Port Adelaide by 1-39 paying $2.30

Good luck and happy punting!

1 Comment »