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AFL Brownlow Medal Betting Tips, Advice & Strategies

Chas Brownlow Medal TrophyThe Chas Brownlow Trophy, better known as the Brownlow Medal (and informally as "Charlie"), is awarded to the "best and fairest" player in the AFL during the regular season as determined by votes cast by the officiating umpires after each game. Itis the most prestigious award for individual players in the AFL. It is also widely acknowledged as the highest individual honour in the sport of Australian Rules Football. Some things to look out for when betting on the Brownlow Medal are listed below.

My advice for betting on the Brownlow

  • Bet on players in teams that will feature prominently in the top 8.
    I watched a lot of footy in 2008, and I was shocked at the Brownlow count when Dean Cox only polled 3 votes for the year when he was clearly BOG quite a few times throughout the season. Matthew Pavlich, on the other hand polled 17 votes from 19 games, even though Freo finished third last. To be fair, Fremantle didn't have many other stars in the side that influenced the games they won as much as Pav. Generally speaking though, the winner of the Charlie will be from a team in the top 8.
  • Gamble on players that won't have too many votes taken away from them by their team-mates.
    As Gary Ablett found out in '08. Joel Selwood, Joel Corey, Steve Johnson and Jimmy Bartel all polled more than 10 votes each last year for a total of 55 between them. Adam Cooney's top four brownlow polling team-mates (Daniel Cross, Matthew Boyd, Ryan Griffen and Jason Akermanis) polled 39 between them. Being able to identify stand-out players in average to good teams can be an absolute gold-mine in tipping both the Brownlow medalist winner, and the more exotic betting options such as win/place, top 5 and most votes from each team type betting.
  • Get on midfielders that are likely to be under the tagging radar, or good enough to cope with opposition taggers.
    Many people call the Brownlow the "Midfielders Medal", as those who play in the forward line, or in defense rarely get noticed as much as the major ball-winners. Lance Franklin is an exception to this rule, and players like Jonathon Brown, Nicj Riewoldt and Matthew Pavlich are certainly in with a chance if they play enough good footy throughout the season. Generally speaking though, midfielders poll the most votes. As the adage goes, the game is won and lost in the midfield.
  • To find really good odds, take a punt on breakout contenders at the start of the year.
    In order to get decent odds on the Brownlow medal, you really need to place your bets before the season starts, or at the very latest, during the first several weeks of the fixture. Watching the pre-season games can give you a rough idea about a player entering their 5th or 6th year of playing regular footy who has had a role change, or is about to step up into the true 'elite' players of the game.
  • Add to your shortlist players who are proven to be honest and durable over the past few seasons.
    Another tick for Gary Ablett who usually is quite durable, missing only 1 game on 2006, zero in 2007 and then 4 games in 2008 which could very well have cost him another addition to his trophy cabinet. Obviously you don't want players that play "unsociable" football, with a history of reports and suspensions.
  • Find players who have a good recent polling history, especially if the votes and/or team are on the rise.
    Some players just don't attract the attention of umpires. Others seem to nearly get a vote for simply stepping onto the field. Research how many votes a player has won, and see if there is a trend upwards, and the probability of getting more votes due to retirements, role changes, more experience and so on.

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Past Brownlow medalists

Year Player Team Votes
2009 Gary Ablett Geelong
30
2008 Adam Cooney Western Bulldogs
24
2007 Jimmy Bartel Geelong
29
2006 Adam Goodes Sydney
26
2005 Ben Cousins West Coast Eagles
20
2004 Chris Judd West Coast Eagles
30
2003 Mark Ricciuto Adelaide
22
2003 Nathan Buckley Collingwood
22
2003 Adam Goodes Sydney
22
2002 Simon Black Brisbane Lions
25
2001 Jason Akermanis Brisbane Lions
23
2000 Shane Woewodin Melbourne
24
1999 Shane Crawford Hawthorn
28
1998 Robert Harvey St Kilda
32
1997 Robert Harvey * St Kilda
26
1996 Michael Voss * Brisbane Bears
21
1996 James Hird Essendon
21
1995 Paul Kelly Sydney
21
1994 Greg Williams Carlton
30
1993 Gavin Wanganeen Essendon
18
1992 Scott Wynd Footscray
20
1991 Jim Stynes Melbourne
25
1990 Tony Liberatore Footscray
18
1989 Paul Couch Geelong
22
1988 Gerard Healy Sydney
20
1987 Tony Lockett St Kilda
20
1987 John Platten Hawthorn
20
1986 Robert Di Pierdomenico Hawthorn
17
1986 Greg Williams Sydney
17
1985 Brad Hardie Footscray
22
1984 Peter Moore Melbourne
24
1983 Ross Glendinning North Melbourne
24
1982 Brian Wilson Melbourne
23
1981 Bernie Quinlan Fitzroy
22
1981 Barry Round South Melbourne
22
1980 Kelvin Templeton Footscray
23
1979 Peter Moore Collingwood
22
1978 Malcolm Blight North Melbourne
22
1977 Graham Teasdale South Melbourne
59
1976 Graham Moss Essendon
48
1975 Gary Dempsey Footscray
20
1974 Keith Greig North Melbourne
27
1973 Keith Greig North Melbourne
27
1972 Len Thompson Collingwood
25
1971 Ian Stewart Richmond
21
1970 Peter Bedford South Melbourne
25
1969 Kevin Murray Fitzroy
19
1968 Bob Skilton South Melbourne
24
1967 Ross Smith St Kilda
24
1966 Ian Stewart St Kilda
21
1965 Noel Teasdale North Melbourne
20
1965 Ian Stewart St Kilda
20
1964 Gordon Collis Carlton
27
1963 Bob Skilton South Melbourne
20
1962 Alistair Lord Geelong
28
1961 John James Carlton
21
1960 John Schultz Footscray
20
1959 Verdun Howell St Kilda
20
1959 Bob Skilton South Melbourne
20
1958 Neil Roberts St Kilda
20
1957 Brian Gleeson St Kilda
24
1956 Peter Box Footscray
22
1955 Fred Goldsmith South Melbourne
21
1954 Roy Wright Richmond
29
1953 Bill Hutchison Essendon
26
1952 Bill Hutchison Essendon
21
1952 Roy Wright Richmond
21
1951 Bernie Smith Geelong
23
1950 Alan Ruthven Fitzroy
21
1949 Ron Clegg South Melbourne
23
1949 Col Austen Hawthorn
23
1948 Bill Morris Richmond
24
1947 Bert Deacon Carlton
20
1946 Don Cordner Melbourne
20
1941 Norman Ware Footscray
23
1940 Des Fothergill Collingwood
32
1940 Herbie Matthews South Melbourne
32
1939 Marcus Whelan Collingwood
23
1938 Dick Reynolds Essendon
18
1937 Dick Reynolds Essendon
27
1936 Denis Ryan Fitzroy
26
1935 Haydn Bunton, Sr. Fitzroy
24
1934 Dick Reynolds Essendon
19
1933 Wilfred Smallhorn Fitzroy
18
1932 Haydn Bunton, Sr. Fitzroy
23
1931 Haydn Bunton, Sr. Fitzroy
26
1930 Harry Collier Collingwood
4
1930 Allan Hopkins Footscray
4
1930 Stan Judkins Richmond
4
1929 Albert Collier Collingwood
6
1928 Ivor Warne-Smith Melbourne
8
1927 Syd Coventry Collingwood
7
1926 Ivor Warne-Smith Melbourne
9
1925 Colin Watson St Kilda
9
1924 Edward Greeves Geelong
7

* = The player with the most votes was ineligible for the award.

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